Book/Report

FZJ-2020-02222

http://join2-wiki.gsi.de/foswiki/pub/Main/Artwork/join2_logo100x88.png Game theoretical analysis of safeguards effectiveness 3 : equilibrium solutions

Avenhaus, R.FZJ* ; Canty, M. J.FZJ*

1989
Kernforschungsanlage Jülich GmbH Zentralbibliothek, Verlag Jülich

Please use a persistent id in citations: http://hdl.handle.net/2128/25009

Report No.: Juel-Spez-0541

Abstract: In Part 1 of the present study on safeguards effectiveness it was shown that for attribute samplingproblems the guaranteed probability of detection can be used as a measure for the effectiveness ofsafeguards procedures. In Part II this measure was used for variable sampling problems, with givenfalse alarm probabilities as boundary conditions. In Part III we show that the measure can bejustified by appropriate game theoretical models. Furthermore, we show that, for attribute sampling,the equilibrium strategy of the operator is legal behavior if appropriate eff ort conditions arefulfilled, whether or not the inspector announces bis strategy in advance. For variable sampling,legal behavior is equilibrium strategy of the operator only if the inspector announces bis strategy.

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Contributing Institute(s):

1. Publikationen vor 2000 (PRE-2000 ; Retrocat)

Research Program(s):

1. 899 - ohne Topic (POF3-899) (POF3-899)

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Database coverage:

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